Is there any chance that the Democratic Center says the only way the Democrats can win is to move to the center because it makes the Center relevant to their own party? At least unconsciously?
The move to the middle doesn't make sense for a couple of reasons all apparent in the last election: 1) it keeps the Democrats in the Republican frame 2) it forsakes too many important principles 3) it won't work.
Why won't it work?
Well, it didn't work in the last election. It didn't even really work well for Gore, however you interpret the election results. Democratic centrism really is, as has been stated over and over and over, Republican Lite. If Democrats argue to invade Iraq, how does that differentiate them from Republicans? Centrists argue they would do it better, but in the MSM's mirror of reality, there's no real significant difference between them. On social issues, well, the Centrists seem to care more than the Republicans, their plans are less extreme, but accomplish the same goals. There are few, if any, Centrist issues that the Republicans don't hold in a clearer, simpler fashion. Aside from the relative mellowness of the Centrists (as opposed to the Republicans), I think you'll find that they just think they're smarter than everyone else. It was true of the Clinton Administration. There's a palpable comfort with elitism, a coolness to ideology and real passion, a confidence in their technocratic abilities.
The Democratic Party has let the Republicans call the shots and (as much as I think George Lakoff is a hoser) frame the debate. In England the PM faces the parliment every week to answer questions. Democrats refuse to even pose the questions to the press. The American people deserved to hear the case against invading Iraq; they didn't even get to hear the questions posed. A high school debater could have prepared the case, it wasn't rocket science. Democrats might have stood up and said, "Democracy isn't about falling into line behind the president because we might run against him in a year. It's about hearing all sides and making the best decision. Regardless of how we eventually vote, here's the case for the status quo." But instead the Centrists got in line behind the President. Kerry, a Centrist, could have run on a platform saying Iraq was a disaster waiting to happen. He might have quoted Colin Powell on the subject. Instead he was unable to differentiate himself from the President and opened himself up to the old flip-flop flim-flam. That's Centrism at work.
2) The Democratic base has its eyes on the prize. People care about and agree with the issues in the platform from health care to education. See the TalkLeft archives on this.
3) Based on my experience with people in the middle, the independents, the reasonable Republicans, what they hate about the Democrats is the wishy-washiness. The Centrism. They vote less on what a candidate beliefs and more on how he stands on what he believes. Reality doesn't count either; it's the press's depiction that counts. People want candidates with strong beliefs. John McCain is such a candidate, though he'll probably never get past the Republican primary, he will garner a lot of cross-over votes because his perceived integrity. Millions will overlook his deep conservatism because of his "character."
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